I’ll believe Trump actually distrusts Putin when we see Putin openly weeping as he signs surrender papers in Geneva.
Trump is finding his Nobel Prize difficult to grasp. This is what is souring him on his own Putin “strategy”. He could have been at this same place if he’d opted to treat Putin as Putin deserved to be treated, like a war criminal.
Trump’s desire for the Nobel appears to be his sole motivation. Which reveals Trump as despicable. If this drives to US to improve its support of Ukraine, it will be counted as a win. With the caveat that Trump can flip from one pose to another at the drop of a prize.
Getting OPEC to pump more oil is an easy ask and with Trump favoring dictators, was an available option from Day One.
Still I do like the information you bring to the table! Very much appreciated!
Hi Lesia, you need to remember Russia is a key member of OPEC+. Smaller members of OPEC+ had been cheating on the last deal. The new deal allows the two biggest producers Saudi Arabia and Russia to significantly increase production helping them to offset lower prices.
The biggest losers of lower oil prices are US producers who rely on fracking. If the oil price drops significantly below $60 per barrel, then a lot of US producers will have to shut down and wait until prices go up again. Both Russia and Saudi Arabia can still make a profit (much smaller than they currently do but still a profit) at $30 per barrel.
There is nothing left the US or Europe can do that will make Ukraine get Crimea back. Trumps tariff wars have shown the US has no leverage left over China and very little over most other countries. Lindsey Grahams "bone crushing sanctions" are simply empty wind. The west is effectively out of air defence missiles and systems and cannot make new ones fast enough. Brittain has no self-propelled artillery left - they gave it all to Ukraine. The entire west cannot make shells in anything like the numbers Russia can.
When Serbia was being bombed by NATO over Kosovo the government faced a difficult choice; do they continue to let their people be killed by NATO bombs for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they pull out of Kosovo. They chose to protect their people and let Kosovo go.
The government of Ukraine has the same choice; do they continue to fight getting thousands of their people killed for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they accept reality that there is no way they can get Crimea back?
In all that calculus you failed to mention that Ukraine has to consider whether or not Putin’s bloodlust will be satiated with what he’s taken up to this point. It may not be. Ukraine wanting Crimea back is as much about its survival as is anything.
look who is talking?! those who provoked this proxy war at the blood of ukraine and now being spectacularly defeated together with their "coalition of killing"!
would be impatiently waiting when they name all the war criminals, especially from the wars they started and raged across the world in the past 3 decades on false pretence promoting democracy and freedom...
Shows the influence Trump wields on OPEC if they (aka Saudis) can open that goddam faucet in the desert at his request. I still wouldn't buy a used car from Trump Inc, though.
So what you’re really saying is that Trump and his hapless team are so stupid that they are just now figuring out what 80 million of the US general population who support Ukraine have known since the Minks agreements, that Putin doesn’t want peace? Even after all those private conversations Trump had with Putin before Jan of 2025. 🤦♀️ I think you’re onto something.
Well, as far as I remember the Democratic and other crowd told me that Trump wants to give all of Ukraine to Russia, leave NATO, and that Russia wants a ceasefire and that it’s all fixed. So you know, it’s all pretty hapless
You do realize that we are only a little over 100 days into Trumps administration? Plenty of time left for his Ukrainian fire sale and giving Nato the boot. Not sure which Democrats said they trusted Putin for a ceasefire, if they said it at all, but how that makes Trump any less stupid is beyond me.
I’ll believe Trump actually distrusts Putin when we see Putin openly weeping as he signs surrender papers in Geneva.
Trump is finding his Nobel Prize difficult to grasp. This is what is souring him on his own Putin “strategy”. He could have been at this same place if he’d opted to treat Putin as Putin deserved to be treated, like a war criminal.
Trump’s desire for the Nobel appears to be his sole motivation. Which reveals Trump as despicable. If this drives to US to improve its support of Ukraine, it will be counted as a win. With the caveat that Trump can flip from one pose to another at the drop of a prize.
Getting OPEC to pump more oil is an easy ask and with Trump favoring dictators, was an available option from Day One.
Still I do like the information you bring to the table! Very much appreciated!
Hi Lesia, you need to remember Russia is a key member of OPEC+. Smaller members of OPEC+ had been cheating on the last deal. The new deal allows the two biggest producers Saudi Arabia and Russia to significantly increase production helping them to offset lower prices.
The biggest losers of lower oil prices are US producers who rely on fracking. If the oil price drops significantly below $60 per barrel, then a lot of US producers will have to shut down and wait until prices go up again. Both Russia and Saudi Arabia can still make a profit (much smaller than they currently do but still a profit) at $30 per barrel.
There is nothing left the US or Europe can do that will make Ukraine get Crimea back. Trumps tariff wars have shown the US has no leverage left over China and very little over most other countries. Lindsey Grahams "bone crushing sanctions" are simply empty wind. The west is effectively out of air defence missiles and systems and cannot make new ones fast enough. Brittain has no self-propelled artillery left - they gave it all to Ukraine. The entire west cannot make shells in anything like the numbers Russia can.
When Serbia was being bombed by NATO over Kosovo the government faced a difficult choice; do they continue to let their people be killed by NATO bombs for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they pull out of Kosovo. They chose to protect their people and let Kosovo go.
The government of Ukraine has the same choice; do they continue to fight getting thousands of their people killed for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they accept reality that there is no way they can get Crimea back?
In all that calculus you failed to mention that Ukraine has to consider whether or not Putin’s bloodlust will be satiated with what he’s taken up to this point. It may not be. Ukraine wanting Crimea back is as much about its survival as is anything.
look who is talking?! those who provoked this proxy war at the blood of ukraine and now being spectacularly defeated together with their "coalition of killing"!
would be impatiently waiting when they name all the war criminals, especially from the wars they started and raged across the world in the past 3 decades on false pretence promoting democracy and freedom...
Shows the influence Trump wields on OPEC if they (aka Saudis) can open that goddam faucet in the desert at his request. I still wouldn't buy a used car from Trump Inc, though.
So what you’re really saying is that Trump and his hapless team are so stupid that they are just now figuring out what 80 million of the US general population who support Ukraine have known since the Minks agreements, that Putin doesn’t want peace? Even after all those private conversations Trump had with Putin before Jan of 2025. 🤦♀️ I think you’re onto something.
Well, as far as I remember the Democratic and other crowd told me that Trump wants to give all of Ukraine to Russia, leave NATO, and that Russia wants a ceasefire and that it’s all fixed. So you know, it’s all pretty hapless
You do realize that we are only a little over 100 days into Trumps administration? Plenty of time left for his Ukrainian fire sale and giving Nato the boot. Not sure which Democrats said they trusted Putin for a ceasefire, if they said it at all, but how that makes Trump any less stupid is beyond me.