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Paul Boyd's avatar

I’ll believe Trump actually distrusts Putin when we see Putin openly weeping as he signs surrender papers in Geneva.

Trump is finding his Nobel Prize difficult to grasp. This is what is souring him on his own Putin “strategy”. He could have been at this same place if he’d opted to treat Putin as Putin deserved to be treated, like a war criminal.

Trump’s desire for the Nobel appears to be his sole motivation. Which reveals Trump as despicable. If this drives to US to improve its support of Ukraine, it will be counted as a win. With the caveat that Trump can flip from one pose to another at the drop of a prize.

Getting OPEC to pump more oil is an easy ask and with Trump favoring dictators, was an available option from Day One.

Still I do like the information you bring to the table! Very much appreciated!

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D. O.'s avatar

Hi Lesia, you need to remember Russia is a key member of OPEC+. Smaller members of OPEC+ had been cheating on the last deal. The new deal allows the two biggest producers Saudi Arabia and Russia to significantly increase production helping them to offset lower prices.

The biggest losers of lower oil prices are US producers who rely on fracking. If the oil price drops significantly below $60 per barrel, then a lot of US producers will have to shut down and wait until prices go up again. Both Russia and Saudi Arabia can still make a profit (much smaller than they currently do but still a profit) at $30 per barrel.

There is nothing left the US or Europe can do that will make Ukraine get Crimea back. Trumps tariff wars have shown the US has no leverage left over China and very little over most other countries. Lindsey Grahams "bone crushing sanctions" are simply empty wind. The west is effectively out of air defence missiles and systems and cannot make new ones fast enough. Brittain has no self-propelled artillery left - they gave it all to Ukraine. The entire west cannot make shells in anything like the numbers Russia can.

When Serbia was being bombed by NATO over Kosovo the government faced a difficult choice; do they continue to let their people be killed by NATO bombs for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they pull out of Kosovo. They chose to protect their people and let Kosovo go.

The government of Ukraine has the same choice; do they continue to fight getting thousands of their people killed for the sake of "sovereignty" or do they accept reality that there is no way they can get Crimea back?

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