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Paul Boyd's avatar

If the gist of the article is that Europe needs to "step up" I 100% agree. Europe has for too long immersed itself, childlike, into the bosom of the US. Sure, we encouraged this. But, c'mon Europe, have some pride!

Has Zelensky made mistakes. Yes. Wars are full of them, including war itself.

His country was invaded by a dictator, Putin, who prides himself on killing civilians. So, sure, criticize Zelensky. But any sober assessment of the "mistakes" leaders have made in this war has got to weigh more heavily on the Putin side. From his initial, well-calculated, attack which would render unto ceaser in 3 days, to his new press on Trump to prolong the war and slowly hamstring Ukraine.

Yep, Biden risked two things which turned out to be wrong. First, that US "management" of the war would result in a Ukrainian victory. Second, that he could sustain US domestic support by clocking Ukrainian "victories". Management was hampered by an inability to understand the risks. Flooding Ukraine with HIMARS and ATACMS was the way to go. Invoking the Defense Production Act was his best domestic bet to support Ukraine in terms of materiel, and to boost domestic manufacturing in support of a "just cause".

Alas.

We should call out Putin's "calculation" that he could take Ukraine in no time at all. Such represents the quality of "calculation" autocrats are capable of. Existing in their own "disinformation bubbles" they are told what they want to hear, then consider themselves "clever" and powerful when they compose "plans" of great magnitude. Like little boys playing at life.

Consider now Trump's "calculation" relative to the war in Ukraine, and more recently with regard to his "tariffs". Whoa boy! Low quality outputs are the main product line of autocrats. Autocrats court catastrophe because they exist in fact-free zones. So it is with Putin. So it is with Trump.

The abiding "truth" in Europe is they need to mobilize their troops in support of Ukraine. According to General Cavoli's testimony this week before Senate Armed Services, Ukraine has largely "solved" their manpower issues. Adding European forces then produces at least two advantages.

Primarily, this would raise the tangible and intangible costs to Putin of his war in Ukraine. Secondarily, it would put Europe where it belongs in this war, with skin in the game. The US "shield" is basically gone. Pretending it's still there is foolish unless and until actions are taken to ensure that the US has Europe's back. Such actions will not be forthcoming from the Trump-Vance administration.

there is great truth to the notion that europe's "troop" potential is weak. Ukraine does not need their numbers, it needs their presence. If this can be achieved, everything will change. On the ground, and at the negotiating table. Trump-Putin will not render justice to Ukraine or to Europe.

Trump wants Europe to assume the prone position in terms of economic. Putin wants Europe to assume the same position in terms of its military capacity. Together they will agree on: prone.

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rickster's avatar

I'm not sure about some of your statements but I agree with much of it and certainly this:

"The truth is that they could get rid of their nuclear weapons, save a ton of money, and grow their conventional forces dramatically."

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